Author(s): RAMOS, N. P.; LUCHIARI JUNIOR, A.; SILVA, P. de A.; SIQUEIRA, E. R. de; SANTIAGO, A. D.; PACKER, A. P.

Summary: Abstract: Several critical variables are used to predict the technological expansion of traditional sugarcane productive region of Brazil's northeast (NE). Variables were selected after retrospective evaluation, present diagnosis and validation by expertise of the sugarcane sector. After the selection, the variables were classified based on impact levei and predictability. The matrix for morphological analysis was carried out to indicate the technological expansion pathway. It is possible to conclude that technological expansion of sugarcane production in this traditional region could be limited or enhanced by agricultural, social environrnental and economic variables. ln this study, a total of twenty five parameters were designated to evaluate the sugarcane expansion in this region, being eight agricultural, six natural resource, six market and five social variables. Therefore, straight analysis of the scenario lead to the possibility of immediate actions in agricultura I sugarcane production, natural resource preservation and social relationships variables, on the other hand the market actions agreements are more complex and complicated to apply.

Publication year: 2011

Types of publication: Paper in annals and proceedings

Unit: Embrapa Environment

Keywords: Bioenergy, Cana-de-açúcar, Sugarcane