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Previsões climáticas sazonais para o Cerrado: uma abordagem para seleção de preditores. Fenômenos climáticos de grande escala, como oscilações de temperatura no Pacífico Equatorial, mensuradas por indicadores do ENOS (El Niño-Oscilação Sul) influenciam padrões de precipitação ao redor do... ... Repository: BDPA Publication year: 2019
Intra-seasonal climate prediction: linking weather and climate forecasts. The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is a tropical atmospheric phenomenon, associated with periods of active convection in the eastern hemisphere tropics. The MJO?s temporal scale (22-90 days) coincide... ... Repository: BDPA Publication year: 2006
Assessing uncertainty of seasonal probabilistic forecasts: distribution-free confidence limits. Probabilistic climate information, including climate forecasts, often rely on time series data of prognostic variables (Y, eg. rainfall or yield), represented as cumulative distribution probabilities... ... Repository: BDPA Publication year: 2006
Better statistics to assess the quality of analogue-based forecast systems. Seasonal probabilistic forecast systems (SPFS) based on the analogue years approach (AYA) are used worldwide and provide valuable information for decision makers managing climate-sensitive systems (Si... ... Repository: BDPA Publication year: 2006

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