Simulation of Future Agricultural Sceneries from Projections of Regional Climate Changes

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Photo: ROMANI, Luciana Alvim Santos

This project's goal is to evaluate and quantify the impacts caused by global climate changes in Brazilian's most important economic cultures . For such a purpose, the input database of all the models of all the proposed projects will consist of projections or regional scenarios released by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), and serve as downscalings of the global climatic scenarios. These regional scenarios will define future agricultural scenarios based in mathematical models used in efficient simulators, especially developed according with the computing needs of this project. These models should help the country's response to each individual region, decreasing the vulnerability of the agricultural sector; these are the impacts expected of this project and of other proposals and actions which fit into recent proposed institutional climate change platform. The models should also serve as guidelines for public policy definitions that stimulate and finance the adoption of mitigation measures and especially, adapt cultures and systems of management of the new sceneries.

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